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Andrej Karpathy thinks AGI’s impact on the economy will just be folded into the existing rate of growth. AI will be barely noticeable in GDP statistics. When he came on the show, I pushed back, saying AGI will cause a massive jump in productivity and growth. Watch our
https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2064754995086721170
I think it is really worth reading this piece on RSI at Anthropic. There is a bit of navel-gazing, some marketing, and a lot of very sincere beliefs about what Anthropic thinks is likely in the near future of AI that you probably want to be aware of.
https://x.com/emollick/status/2062582362194460698
Policy on the AI Exponential \ Anthropic
https://www.anthropic.com/policy-on-the-ai-exponential
When AI builds itself \ Anthropic
https://www.anthropic.com/institute/recursive-self-improvement
AI is advancing at a pace our policymaking institutions were never built for–and the gap between the two is becoming the central challenge of the technology. In his latest essay, our CEO Dario Amodei lays out how to close it. We’re launching three new initiatives to support the
https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/2064783418844762489
Dario Amodei — Policy on the AI Exponential
https://darioamodei.com/post/policy-on-the-ai-exponential
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?
https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/alex-imas-phil-trammell
Economics of AGI episode w Alex Imas and Phil Trammell. There’s a bunch of important questions about how we deal with AI that only economics can answer. What is the optimal way to tax and redistribute the wealth that will be generated? How should countries not in the AI supply
https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2062574759628661215
How should we think through various proposals for sharing the gains of AGI? According to @pawtrammell and @ansonwhho, the leading proposals for universal redistribution after AGI differ along a primary axis: how much direct control over capital they propose giving citizens. 🧵
https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/2064739121973829978
Some people argue that, after the singularity, the human labour share will still be high. Anything that can be produced by AI will become extremely cheap, and so we’ll spend our money on the “”human touch””. But @pawtrammell points out that a Mongolian economist in 1400 might have
https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/2062972880749809926
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