I encourage you to skim the slides from September 2023 (which felt conspicuously silly and Quixotic) and see how they aged with time.
Executive Overview: Mid-Term Outlook for Artificial Intelligence
Presentation to the National Association of Broadcasters
This presentation includes AI trends to watch, overarching principles, and the impact of AI on publishing and other industries.
We begin with a discussion of short-term concepts such as generative AI, GPT, Llama, and Palm, exploring how language models can transform content from one medium to another. This includes generative audio and imagery technologies like Stable Diffusion, MidJourney, Adobe Firefly, and HeyGen. We also cover the paid benefits of GPT Plus, including plugins and advanced data analytics, followed by speech-to-text technologies like Whisper and Otter.ai.
Next, we delve into topics expected to emerge in AI over the mid-term. These include the concept of agency with connected and collaborative AI working on our behalf. We then examine multimodality and multimedia within a single interface.
Finally, we explore robot embodiment and LLMs (Large Language Models) as interfaces to physical machines. Looking further ahead, we discuss the decline of traditional web metrics such as page views, the declining role of web browsers, and the horizon of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).
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